Periodic-CRN: A Convolutional Recurrent Model for Crowd Density Prediction with Recurring Periodic Patterns

Periodic-CRN: A Convolutional Recurrent Model for Crowd Density Prediction with Recurring Periodic Patterns

Ali Zonoozi, Jung-jae Kim, Xiao-Li Li, Gao Cong

Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Main track. Pages 3732-3738. https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2018/519

Time-series forecasting in geo-spatial domains has important applications, including urban planning, traffic management and behavioral analysis. We observed recurring periodic patterns in some spatio-temporal data, which were not considered explicitly by previous non-linear works. To address this lack, we propose novel `Periodic-CRN' (PCRN) method, which adapts convolutional recurrent network (CRN) to accurately capture spatial and temporal correlations, learns and incorporates explicit periodic representations, and can be optimized with multi-step ahead prediction. We show that PCRN consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art methods for crowd density prediction across two taxi datasets from Beijing and Singapore.
Keywords:
Machine Learning: Machine Learning
Machine Learning: Neural Networks
Machine Learning: Time-series;Data Streams
Machine Learning: Deep Learning
Machine Learning Applications: Applications of Supervised Learning