Proceedings

Speaking Numbers to LLMs: Multi-Wavelet Number Embeddings for Time Series Forecasting

Download BibTeX Cite

Proceedings of the Thirty-Fifth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence. Main Track. Pages 4170-4178.

https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2026/464

Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) are attractive for context-aware time series forecasting because they can integrate heterogeneous textual signals, yet their discrete, language-oriented tokenization and embedding interfaces are misaligned with continuous numerical values, often harming numerical ordering and forecasting reliability. We propose TempoWave, a plug-and-play temporal wavelet digit interface that maps each scalar observation into digit-wise embeddings constructed from multi-wavelet, multi-scale coefficients. By directly overriding standard token representations, TempoWave seamlessly exposes both fine-grained local fluctuations and macro global structures in a transformer-compatible form, ensuring that precise numerical formatting, distinct digit identity, and robustness to common normalization operations are maintained throughout the LLM pipeline. Experiments across five context-enriched forecasting benchmarks demonstrate that TempoWave consistently improves LLM-based forecasters over standard numeric tokenization and alternative embedding interfaces, achieving a new state-of-the-art. These results highlight the numeric interface as a key bottleneck and suggest that principled multi-resolution embeddings can better couple LLMs' contextual reasoning with precise forecasting. Our code is available at https://github.com/DC-research/TempoWAVE.

  1. [Ansari et al., 2024] Abdul Fatir Ansari, Lorenzo Stella, Caner Turkmen, Xiyuan Zhang, Pedro Mercado, Huibin Shen, Oleksandr Shchur, Syama Sundar Rangapuram, Se- bastian Pineda Arango, Shubham Kapoor, et al. Chronos: Learning the language of time series. arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.07815, 2024.
  2. [Cao et al., 2020] Defu Cao, Yujing Wang, Juanyong Duan, Ce Zhang, Xia Zhu, Congrui Huang, Yunhai Tong, Bix- iong Xu, Jing Bai, Jie Tong, et al. Spectral temporal graph neural network for multivariate time-series forecast- ing. Advances in neural information processing systems, 33:17766-17778, 2020.
  3. [Cao et al., 2021] Defu Cao, Jiachen Li, Hengbo Ma, and Masayoshi Tomizuka. Spectral temporal graph neural net- work for trajectory prediction. In 2021 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation (ICRA), pages 1839-1845, 2021.
  4. [Cao et al., 2023a] Defu Cao, James Enouen, Yujing Wang, Xiangchen Song, Chuizheng Meng, Hao Niu, and Yan Liu. Estimating treatment effects from irregular time series ob- servations with hidden confounders. In Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, volume 37, pages 6897-6905, 2023.
  5. [Cao et al., 2023b] Defu Cao, Yixiang Zheng, Parisa Has- sanzadeh, Simran Lamba, Xiaomo Liu, and Yan Liu. Large scale financial time series forecasting with multi- faceted model. In Proceedings of the Fourth ACM Inter- national Conference on AI in Finance, ICAIF '23, page 472-480, New York, NY, USA, 2023. Association for Computing Machinery.
  6. [Cao et al., 2024a] Defu Cao, Furong Jia, Sercan O Arik, Tomas Pfister, Yixiang Zheng, Wen Ye, and Yan Liu. TEMPO: Prompt-based generative pre-trained transformer for time series forecasting. In The Twelfth International Conference on Learning Representations, 2024.
  7. [Cao et al., 2024b] Defu Cao, Wen Ye, Yizhou Zhang, and Yan Liu. Timedit: General-purpose diffusion transform- ers for time series foundation model. arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.02322, 2024.
  8. [Cao et al., 2025] Defu Cao, Michael Gee, Jinbo Liu, Hengxuan Wang, Wei Yang, Rui Wang, and Yan Liu. Conversational time series foundation models: Towards explainable and effective forecasting. arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.16022, 2025.
  9. [Cao et al., 2026] Defu Cao, Wen Ye, Yizhou Zhang, Sam Griesemer, and Yan Liu. PINFDit: Energy-based physics- informed diffusion transformers for general-purpose time series tasks. In The Fourteenth International Conference on Learning Representations, 2026.
  10. [Das et al., 2024] Abhimanyu Das, Weihao Kong, Rajat Sen, and Yichen Zhou. A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting. In Forty-first International Con- ference on Machine Learning, 2024.
  11. [Gillman et al., 2025] Nate Gillman, Daksh Aggarwal, Michael Freeman, and Chen Sun. Fourier head: Helping large language models learn complex probability distri- butions. In The Thirteenth International Conference on Learning Representations, 2025.
  12. [Goswami et al., 2024] Mononito Goswami, Konrad Szafer, Arjun Choudhry, Yifu Cai, Shuo Li, and Artur Dubrawski. Moment: A family of open time-series foundation models. In International Conference on Machine Learning, pages 16115-16152. PMLR, 2024.
  13. [Gruver et al., 2024] Nate Gruver, Marc Finzi, Shikai Qiu, and Andrew G Wilson. Large language models are zero- shot time series forecasters. Advances in Neural Informa- tion Processing Systems, 36, 2024.
  14. [Hu et al., 2025] Yuxiao Hu, Qian Li, Dongxiao Zhang, Jinyue Yan, and Yuntian Chen. Context-alignment: Ac- tivating and enhancing LLMs capabilities in time series. In The Thirteenth International Conference on Learning Representations, 2025.
  15. [Jia et al., 2024] Furong Jia, Kevin Wang, Yixiang Zheng, Defu Cao, and Yan Liu. Gpt4mts: Prompt-based large language model for multimodal time-series forecasting. In The 14th Symposium on Educational Advances in Artifi- cial Intelligence (EAAI-24), 2024.
  16. [Jin et al., 2024] Ming Jin, Shiyu Wang, Lintao Ma, Zhix- uan Chu, James Y. Zhang, Xiaoming Shi, Pin-Yu Chen, Yuxuan Liang, Yuan-Fang Li, Shirui Pan, and Qingsong Wen. Time-LLM: Time series forecasting by reprogram- ming large language models. In The Twelfth International Conference on Learning Representations, 2024.
  17. [Li et al., 2026] Jiate Li, Defu Cao, Li Li, Wei Yang, Yue- han Qin, Chenxiao Yu, Tiannuo Yang, Ryan A Rossi, Yan Liu, Xiyang Hu, et al. "someone hid it!": Query-agnostic black-box attacks on LLM-based retrieval. In Forty-third International Conference on Machine Learning, 2026.
  18. [Liu et al., 2022] Yong Liu, Haixu Wu, Jianmin Wang, and Mingsheng Long. Non-stationary transformers: Exploring the stationarity in time series forecasting. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2022.
  19. [Lubba et al., 2019] Carl H Lubba, Sarab S Sethi, Philip Knaute, Simon R Schultz, Ben D Fulcher, and Nick S Jones. catch22: Canonical time-series characteristics: Se- lected through highly comparative time-series analysis. Data mining and knowledge discovery, 33(6):1821-1852, 2019.
  20. [Merrill et al., 2024] Mike A Merrill, Mingtian Tan, Vinayak Gupta, Thomas Hartvigsen, and Tim Althoff. Language models still struggle to zero-shot reason about time series. In EMNLP (Findings), 2024.
  21. [Nie et al., 2023] Yuqi Nie, Nam H. Nguyen, Phanwadee Sinthong, and Jayant Kalagnanam. A time series is worth 64 words: Long-term forecasting with transformers. In International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR '23), 2023. [OpenAI, 2023] OpenAI. Gpt-4 technical report, 2023.
  22. [Oreshkin et al., 2019] Boris N Oreshkin, Dmitri Carpov, Nicolas Chapados, and Yoshua Bengio. N-beats: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series fore- casting. arXiv preprint arXiv:1905.10437, 2019.
  23. [Talukder et al., 2024] Sabera J Talukder, Yisong Yue, and Georgia Gkioxari. Totem: Tokenized time series embed- dings for general time series analysis. Transactions on Ma- chine Learning Research, 2024.
  24. [Wang et al., 2024] Xinlei Wang, Maike Feng, Jing Qiu, Jin- jin Gu, and Junhua Zhao. From news to forecast: Inte- grating event analysis in llm-based time series forecasting with reflection. In Neural Information Processing Systems, 2024.
  25. [Wang et al., 2025] Chengsen Wang, Qi Qi, Jingyu Wang, Haifeng Sun, Zirui Zhuang, Jinming Wu, Lei Zhang, and Jianxin Liao. Chattime: A unified multimodal time series foundation model bridging numerical and textual data. In Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelli- gence, volume 39, pages 12694-12702, 2025.
  26. [Wang et al., 2026a] Xiaoda Wang, Ching Chang, Defu Cao, Kaiqiao Han, Fang Sun, Yue Huang, Minxiao Wang, Chang Xu, Xiao Luo, Runze Yan, et al. Position: Beyond prediction: Toward verifiable physiological waveform rea- soning with foundation models and agentic LLMs. In Forty-third International Conference on Machine Learn- ing Position Paper Track, 2026.
  27. [Wang et al., 2026b] Xiaoda Wang, Kaiqiao Han, Yuhao Xu, Xiao Luo, Yizhou Sun, Wei Wang, and Carl Yang. Se-diff: Simulator and experience enhanced diffusion model for comprehensive ecg generation. In The Fourteenth Inter- national Conference on Learning Representations, 2026.
  28. [Weng et al., 2026] Muyan Weng, Defu Cao, Wei Yang, Yashaswi Sharma, and Yan Liu. Temporalbench: A benchmark for evaluating llm-based agents on contex- tual and event-informed time series tasks. arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.13272, 2026.
  29. [Woo et al., 2024] Gerald Woo, Chenghao Liu, Akshat Ku- mar, Caiming Xiong, Silvio Savarese, and Doyen Sahoo. Unified training of universal time series forecasting trans- formers. In Forty-first International Conference on Ma- chine Learning, 2024.
  30. [Wu et al., 2021] Haixu Wu, Jiehui Xu, Jianmin Wang, and Mingsheng Long. Autoformer: Decomposition transform- ers with auto-correlation for long-term series forecasting. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS), pages 101-112, 2021.
  31. [Wu et al., 2023] Haixu Wu, Tengge Hu, Yong Liu, Hang Zhou, Jianmin Wang, and Mingsheng Long. Timesnet: Temporal 2d-variation modeling for general time series analysis. In The Eleventh International Conference on Learning Representations, 2023.
  32. [Yang et al., 2025a] Wei Yang, Defu Cao, and Yan Liu. Foundation models for demand forecasting via dual- strategy ensembling. arXiv preprint arXiv:2507.22053, 2025.
  33. [Yang et al., 2025b] Wei Yang, Muyan Weng, Jiacheng Pang, Defu Cao, Heng Ping, Peiyu Zhang, Shixuan Li, Yue Zhao, Qiang Yang, Mengdi Wang, et al. Toward evolution- ary intelligence: Llm-based agentic systems with multi- agent reinforcement learning. Available at SSRN 5819182, 2025.
  34. [Yang et al., 2026] Wei Yang, Defu Cao, Jiacheng Pang, Muyan Weng, and Yan Liu. Adaptive collaboration with humans: Metacognitive policy optimization for multi- agent LLMs with continual learning. In The Fourteenth International Conference on Learning Representations, 2026.
  35. [Ye et al., 2025] Wen Ye, Jinbo Liu, Defu Cao, Wei Yang, and Yan Liu. When llm meets time series: Can llms per- form multi-step time series reasoning and inference. arXiv preprint arXiv:2509.01822, 2025.
  36. [Ye et al., 2026] Wen Ye, Wei Yang, Defu Cao, Yizhou Zhang, Lumingyuan Tang, Jie Cai, and Yan Liu. TS- reasoner: Domain-oriented time series inference agents for reasoning and automated analysis. Transactions on Ma- chine Learning Research, 2026.
  37. [Zeng et al., 2023] Ailing Zeng, Muxi Chen, Lei Zhang, and Qiang Xu. Are transformers effective for time series fore- casting? In Proceedings of the AAAI conference on artifi- cial intelligence, volume 37, pages 11121-11128, 2023.
  38. [Zhang et al., 2022] Yizhou Zhang, Defu Cao, and Yan Liu. Counterfactual neural temporal point process for esti- mating causal influence of misinformation on social me- dia. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 35:10643-10655, 2022.
  39. [Zhang et al., 2024] Yizhou Zhang, Lun Du, Defu Cao, Qiang Fu, and Yan Liu. Guiding large language models with divide-and-conquer program for discerning problem solving. arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.05359, 2024.
  40. [Zhou and Yu, 2025] Zihao Zhou and Rose Yu. Can LLMs understand time series anomalies? In The Thirteenth Inter- national Conference on Learning Representations, 2025.
  41. [Zhou et al., 2021] Haoyi Zhou, Shanghang Zhang, Jieqi Peng, Shuai Zhang, Jianxin Li, Hui Xiong, and Wancai Zhang. Informer: Beyond efficient transformer for long sequence time-series forecasting. In Proceedings of AAAI, 2021.
  42. [Zhou et al., 2025] Tianyi Zhou, Deqing Fu, Mahdi Soltanolkotabi, Robin Jia, and Vatsal Sharan. Fone: Precise single-token number embeddings via fourier features. arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.09741, 2025.

References were extracted automatically from the PDF and may contain errors.

Welcome Future Conferences AI Journal Division IJCAI Proceedings About IJCAI IJCAI Awards