@inproceedings{ijcai2026p650, title = {Simulated Ignorance Fails: A Systematic Study of LLM Behaviors on Forecasting Problems Before Model Knowledge Cutoff}, author = {Li, Zehan and Wang, Yuxuan and El Lahib, Ali and Xia, Ying-Jieh and Pi, Xinyu}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the Thirty-Fifth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, {IJCAI-26}}, publisher = {International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence Organization}, editor = {Diego Calvanese}, pages = {5837--5845}, year = {2026}, month = {8}, note = {Main Track}, doi = {10.24963/ijcai.2026/650}, url = {https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2026/650}, }