Proceedings

Comprehensive Review of Neural Differential Equations for Time Series Analysis

Download BibTeX Cite

Proceedings of the Thirty-Fourth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence. Survey Track. Pages 10621-10631.

https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2025/1179

Abstract

Time series modeling and analysis have become critical in various domains. Conventional methods such as RNNs and Transformers, while effective for discrete-time and regularly sampled data, face significant challenges in capturing the continuous dynamics and irregular sampling patterns inherent in real-world scenarios. Neural Differential Equations (NDEs) represent a paradigm shift by combining the flexibility of neural networks with the mathematical rigor of differential equations. This paper presents a comprehensive review of NDE-based methods for time series analysis, including neural ordinary differential equations, neural controlled differential equations, and neural stochastic differential equations. We provide a detailed discussion of their mathematical formulations, numerical methods, and applications, highlighting their ability to model continuous-time dynamics. Furthermore, we address key challenges and future research directions. This survey serves as a foundation for researchers and practitioners seeking to leverage NDEs for advanced time series analysis.

  1. [Biloš et al., 2021] Marin Biloš, Johanna Sommer, Syama Sundar Rangapuram, Tim Januschowski, and Stephan Günnemann. Neu- ral flows: Efficient alternative to neural odes. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 34:21325-21337, 2021.
  2. [Box et al., 2015] George EP Box, Gwilym M Jenkins, Gregory C Reinsel, and Greta M Ljung. Time series analysis: forecasting and control. John Wiley & Sons, 2015.
  3. [Che et al., 2018] Zhengping Che, Sanjay Purushotham, Kyunghyun Cho, David Sontag, and Yan Liu. Recurrent neural networks for multivariate time series with missing values. Scientific reports, 8(1):6085, 2018.
  4. [Chen et al., 2018] Ricky TQ Chen, Yulia Rubanova, Jesse Betten- court, and David K Duvenaud. Neural ordinary differential equa- tions. Advances in neural information processing systems, 31, 2018.
  5. [Choi et al., 2016] Edward Choi, Mohammad Taha Bahadori, Andy Schuetz, Walter F Stewart, and Jimeng Sun. Doctor ai: Predicting clinical events via recurrent neural networks. In Machine learn- ing for healthcare conference, pages 301-318. PMLR, 2016.
  6. [Choi et al., 2022] Jeongwhan Choi, Hwangyong Choi, Jeehyun Hwang, and Noseong Park. Graph neural controlled differential equations for traffic forecasting. In Proceedings of the AAAI con- ference on artificial intelligence, volume 36, pages 6367-6374, 2022.
  7. [Chung et al., 2014] Junyoung Chung, Caglar Gulcehre, KyungHyun Cho, and Yoshua Bengio. Empirical evalua- tion of gated recurrent neural networks on sequence modeling. arXiv preprint arXiv:1412.3555, 2014.
  8. [Cuomo et al., 2022] Salvatore Cuomo, Vincenzo Schiano Di Cola, Fabio Giampaolo, Gianluigi Rozza, Maziar Raissi, and Francesco Piccialli. Scientific machine learning through physics-informed neural networks: Where we are and what's next. Journal of Sci- entific Computing, 92(3):88, 2022.
  9. [De Brouwer et al., 2019] Edward De Brouwer, Jaak Simm, Adam Arany, and Yves Moreau. Gru-ode-bayes: Continuous modeling of sporadically-observed time series. Advances in neural infor- mation processing systems, 32, 2019.
  10. [Dupont et al., 2019] Emilien Dupont, Arnaud Doucet, and Yee Whye Teh. Augmented neural odes. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 32, 2019.
  11. [Durbin and Koopman, 2012] James Durbin and Siem Jan Koop- man. Time series analysis by state space methods, volume 38. OUP Oxford, 2012.
  12. [Finlay et al., 2020a] Chris Finlay, Augusto Gerolin, Adam M Oberman, and Aram-Alexandre Pooladian. Learning normaliz- ing flows from entropy-kantorovich potentials. arXiv preprint arXiv:2006.06033, 2020.
  13. [Finlay et al., 2020b] Chris Finlay, Jörn-Henrik Jacobsen, Levon Nurbekyan, and Adam Oberman. How to train your neural ode: the world of jacobian and kinetic regularization. In In- ternational conference on machine learning, pages 3154-3164. PMLR, 2020.
  14. [Gholami et al., 2019] Amir Gholami, Kurt Keutzer, and George Biros. Anode: Unconditionally accurate memory-efficient gra- dients for neural odes. arXiv preprint arXiv:1902.10298, 2019. IJCAI
  15. [Ghosh et al., 2020] Arnab Ghosh, Harkirat Behl, Emilien Dupont, Philip Torr, and Vinay Namboodiri. Steer: Simple temporal reg- ularization for neural ode. Advances in Neural Information Pro- cessing Systems, 33:14831-14843, 2020.
  16. [Goodfellow et al., 2016] Ian Goodfellow, Yoshua Bengio, and Aaron Courville. Deep Learning. MIT Press, 2016. http: //www.deeplearningbook.org. Link
  17. [Grathwohl et al., 2018] Will Grathwohl, Ricky TQ Chen, Jesse Bettencourt, Ilya Sutskever, and David Duvenaud. Ffjord: Free- form continuous dynamics for scalable reversible generative models. arXiv preprint arXiv:1810.01367, 2018.
  18. [Grathwohl et al., 2019] Will Grathwohl, Ricky T. Q. Chen, Jesse Bettencourt, and David Duvenaud. Scalable reversible generative models with free-form continuous dynamics. In International Conference on Learning Representations, 2019.
  19. [Haber and Ruthotto, 2017] Eldad Haber and Lars Ruthotto. Sta- ble architectures for deep neural networks. Inverse problems, 34(1):014004, 2017.
  20. [Han et al., 2017] Jiequn Han, Arnulf Jentzen, et al. Deep learning- based numerical methods for high-dimensional parabolic partial differential equations and backward stochastic differential equa- tions. Communications in mathematics and statistics, 5(4):349- 380, 2017.
  21. [Hochreiter and Schmidhuber, 1997] Sepp Hochreiter and Jürgen Schmidhuber. Long short-term memory. Neural computation, 9(8):1735-1780, 1997.
  22. [Jhin et al., 2021] Sheo Yon Jhin, Minju Jo, Taeyong Kong, Jinsung Jeon, and Noseong Park. Ace-node: Attentive co-evolving neural ordinary differential equations. In Proceedings of the 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining, pages 736-745, 2021.
  23. [Jhin et al., 2022] Sheo Yon Jhin, Jaehoon Lee, Minju Jo, Se- ungji Kook, Jinsung Jeon, Jihyeon Hyeong, Jayoung Kim, and Noseong Park. Exit: Extrapolation and interpolation-based neu- ral controlled differential equations for time-series classification and forecasting. In Proceedings of the ACM Web Conference 2022, pages 3102-3112, 2022.
  24. [Jhin et al., 2023] Sheo Yon Jhin, Minju Jo, Seungji Kook, and Noseong Park. Learnable path in neural controlled differential equations. In Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, volume 37, pages 8014-8022, 2023.
  25. [Jhin et al., 2024] Sheo Yon Jhin, Heejoo Shin, Sujie Kim, Seoy- oung Hong, Minju Jo, Solhee Park, Noseong Park, Seungbeom Lee, Hwiyoung Maeng, and Seungmin Jeon. Attentive neural controlled differential equations for time-series classification and forecasting. Knowledge and Information Systems, 66(3):1885- 1915, 2024.
  26. [Jia and Benson, 2019] Junteng Jia and Austin R Benson. Neural jump stochastic differential equations. Advances in Neural Infor- mation Processing Systems, 32, 2019.
  27. [Kelly et al., 2020] Jacob Kelly, Jesse Bettencourt, Matthew J Johnson, and David K Duvenaud. Learning differential equations that are easy to solve. Advances in Neural Information Process- ing Systems, 33:4370-4380, 2020.
  28. [Kidger et al., 2020] Patrick Kidger, James Morrill, James Foster, and Terry Lyons. Neural controlled differential equations for ir- regular time series. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 33:6696-6707, 2020.
  29. [Kidger et al., 2021a] Patrick Kidger, Ricky T. Q. Chen, and Terry J. Lyons. "hey, that's not an ode": Faster ode adjoints via seminorms. International Conference on Machine Learning, 2021.
  30. [Kidger et al., 2021b] Patrick Kidger, James Foster, Xuechen Li, Harald Oberhauser, and Terry Lyons. Neural SDEs as Infinite- Dimensional GANs. International Conference on Machine Learning, 2021.
  31. [Kidger et al., 2021c] Patrick Kidger, James Foster, Xuechen Chen Li, and Terry Lyons. Efficient and accurate gradients for neu- ral sdes. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 34:18747-18761, 2021.
  32. [Kidger, 2021] Patrick Kidger. On Neural Differential Equations. PhD thesis, University of Oxford, 2021.
  33. [Kim et al., 2021] Suyong Kim, Weiqi Ji, Sili Deng, Yingbo Ma, and Christopher Rackauckas. Stiff neural ordinary differential equations. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Sci- ence, 31(9), 2021.
  34. [Kobyzev et al., 2020] Ivan Kobyzev, Simon JD Prince, and Mar- cus A Brubaker. Normalizing flows: An introduction and review of current methods. IEEE transactions on pattern analysis and machine intelligence, 43(11):3964-3979, 2020.
  35. [Lechner and Hasani, 2020] Mathias Lechner and Ramin Hasani. Learning long-term dependencies in irregularly-sampled time se- ries. arXiv preprint arXiv:2006.04418, 2020.
  36. [Li et al., 2020] Xuechen Li, Ting-Kam Leonard Wong, Ricky TQ Chen, and David Duvenaud. Scalable gradients for stochastic differential equations. In International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, pages 3870-3882. PMLR, 2020.
  37. [Li et al., 2023] Jianguo Li, Zhanxing Zhu, et al. Neural lad: a neu- ral latent dynamics framework for times series modeling. Ad- vances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 36:17345- 17356, 2023.
  38. [Li et al., 2024] Jianguo Li, Zhanxing Zhu, et al. Neural lad: a neu- ral latent dynamics framework for times series modeling. Ad- vances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 36, 2024.
  39. [Liu et al., 2019] Xuanqing Liu, Tesi Xiao, Si Si, Qin Cao, San- jiv Kumar, and Cho-Jui Hsieh. Neural sde: Stabilizing neural ode networks with stochastic noise. arXiv preprint arXiv:1906.02355, 2019.
  40. [Liu et al., 2020] Xuanqing Liu, Tesi Xiao, Si Si, Qin Cao, Sanjiv Kumar, and Cho-Jui Hsieh. How does noise help robustness? explanation and exploration under the neural sde framework. In Proceedings of the IEEE/CVF conference on computer vision and pattern recognition, pages 282-290, 2020.
  41. [Lu et al., 2018] Yiping Lu, Aoxiao Zhong, Quanzheng Li, and Bin Dong. Beyond finite layer neural networks: Bridging deep archi- tectures and numerical differential equations. In International Conference on Machine Learning, pages 3276-3285. PMLR, 2018.
  42. [Massaroli et al., 2020a] Stefano Massaroli, Michael Poli, Michelangelo Bin, Jinkyoo Park, Atsushi Yamashita, and Hajime Asama. Stable neural flows. arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.08063, 2020.
  43. [Massaroli et al., 2020b] Stefano Massaroli, Michael Poli, Jinkyoo Park, Atsushi Yamashita, and Hajime Asama. Dissecting neu- ral odes. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 33:3952-3963, 2020.
  44. [Medsker and Jain, 1999] Larry Medsker and Lakhmi C Jain. Re- current neural networks: design and applications. CRC press, 1999.
  45. [Morrill et al., 2021a] James Morrill, Patrick Kidger, Lingyi Yang, and Terry Lyons. Neural controlled differential equations for on- line prediction tasks. arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.11028, 2021.
  46. [Morrill et al., 2021b] James Morrill, Cristopher Salvi, Patrick Kidger, and James Foster. Neural rough differential equations for long time series. In International Conference on Machine Learning, pages 7829-7838. PMLR, 2021.
  47. [Mozer et al., 2017] Michael C Mozer, Denis Kazakov, and Robert V Lindsey. Discrete event, continuous time rnns. arXiv preprint arXiv:1710.04110, 2017.
  48. [Oh et al., 2024] YongKyung Oh, Dongyoung Lim, and Sungil Kim. Stable neural stochastic differential equations in analyzing irregular time series data. In The Twelfth International Confer- ence on Learning Representations, 2024.
  49. [Oh et al., 2025] YongKyung Oh, Dongyoung Lim, and Sungil Kim. Dualdynamics: Synergizing implicit and explicit methods for robust irregular time series analysis. In The 39th Annual AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2025.
  50. [Papamakarios et al., 2021] George Papamakarios, Eric Nalisnick, Danilo Jimenez Rezende, Shakir Mohamed, and Balaji Lak- shminarayanan. Normalizing flows for probabilistic modeling and inference. The Journal of Machine Learning Research, 22(1):2617-2680, 2021.
  51. [Pascanu et al., 2013] Razvan Pascanu, Tomas Mikolov, and Yoshua Bengio. On the difficulty of training recurrent neural networks. In Proceedings of the 30th International Conference on International Conference on Machine Learning-Volume 28, pages III-1310, 2013.
  52. [Peyré et al., 2019] Gabriel Peyré, Marco Cuturi, et al. Computa- tional optimal transport: With applications to data science. Foun- dations and Trends® in Machine Learning, 11(5-6):355-607, 2019.
  53. [Poli et al., 2019] Michael Poli, Stefano Massaroli, Junyoung Park, Atsushi Yamashita, Hajime Asama, and Jinkyoo Park. Graph neural ordinary differential equations. arXiv preprint arXiv:1911.07532, 2019.
  54. [Pontryagin, 2018] Lev Semenovich Pontryagin. Mathematical theory of optimal processes. Routledge, 2018.
  55. [Rackauckas et al., 2020] Christopher Rackauckas, Yingbo Ma, Julius Martensen, Collin Warner, Kirill Zubov, Rohit Supekar, Dominic Skinner, Ali Ramadhan, and Alan Edelman. Univer- sal differential equations for scientific machine learning. arXiv preprint arXiv:2001.04385, 2020.
  56. [Rae et al., 2019] Jack W Rae, Anna Potapenko, Siddhant M Jayakumar, and Timothy P Lillicrap. Compressive trans- formers for long-range sequence modelling. arXiv preprint arXiv:1911.05507, 2019.
  57. [Raissi et al., 2019] Maziar Raissi, Paris Perdikaris, and George E Karniadakis. Physics-informed neural networks: A deep learning framework for solving forward and inverse problems involving nonlinear partial differential equations. Journal of Computational physics, 378:686-707, 2019.
  58. [Rajkomar et al., 2018] Alvin Rajkomar, Eyal Oren, Kai Chen, An- drew M Dai, Nissan Hajaj, Michaela Hardt, Peter J Liu, Xiaobing Liu, Jake Marcus, Mimi Sun, et al. Scalable and accurate deep learning with electronic health records. NPJ digital medicine, 1(1):1-10, 2018.
  59. [Reyna et al., 2019] Matthew A Reyna, Chris Josef, Salman Seyedi, Russell Jeter, Supreeth P Shashikumar, M Brandon Westover, Ashish Sharma, Shamim Nemati, and Gari D Clif- ford. Early prediction of sepsis from clinical data: the phys- ionet/computing in cardiology challenge 2019. In 2019 Comput- ing in Cardiology (CinC), pages Page-1. IEEE, 2019.
  60. [Rubanova et al., 2019] Yulia Rubanova, Ricky TQ Chen, and David K Duvenaud. Latent ordinary differential equations for irregularly-sampled time series. Advances in neural information processing systems, 32, 2019.
  61. [Rudy et al., 2017] Samuel H Rudy, Steven L Brunton, Joshua L Proctor, and J Nathan Kutz. Data-driven discovery of partial dif- ferential equations. Science advances, 3(4):e1602614, 2017.
  62. [Ruiz-Balet and Zuazua, 2023] Domenec Ruiz-Balet and Enrique Zuazua. Neural ode control for classification, approximation, and transport. SIAM Review, 65(3):735-773, 2023.
  63. [Rumelhart et al., 1986] David E Rumelhart, Geoffrey E Hinton, and Ronald J Williams. Learning representations by back- propagating errors. nature, 323(6088):533-536, 1986.
  64. [Shukla and Marlin, 2021] Satya Narayan Shukla and Benjamin M Marlin. Multi-time attention networks for irregularly sampled time series. arXiv preprint arXiv:2101.10318, 2021.
  65. [Silva et al., 2012] Ikaro Silva, George Moody, Daniel J Scott, Leo A Celi, and Roger G Mark. Predicting in-hospital mortality of icu patients: The physionet/computing in cardiology challenge 2012. In 2012 Computing in Cardiology, pages 245-248. IEEE, 2012.
  66. [Sonoda and Murata, 2019] Sho Sonoda and Noboru Murata. Transport analysis of infinitely deep neural network. The Journal of Machine Learning Research, 20(1):31-82, 2019.
  67. [Sun et al., 2020] Chenxi Sun, Shenda Hong, Moxian Song, and Hongyan Li. A review of deep learning methods for ir- regularly sampled medical time series data. arXiv preprint arXiv:2010.12493, 2020.
  68. [Tassa et al., 2018] Yuval Tassa, Yotam Doron, Alistair Muldal, Tom Erez, Yazhe Li, Diego de Las Casas, David Budden, Abbas Abdolmaleki, Josh Merel, Andrew Lefrancq, et al. Deepmind control suite. arXiv preprint arXiv:1801.00690, 2018.
  69. [Todorov et al., 2012] Emanuel Todorov, Tom Erez, and Yuval Tassa. Mujoco: A physics engine for model-based control. In 2012 IEEE/RSJ international conference on intelligent robots and systems, pages 5026-5033. IEEE, 2012.
  70. [Tzen and Raginsky, 2019] Belinda Tzen and Maxim Raginsky. Neural stochastic differential equations: Deep latent gaussian models in the diffusion limit. arXiv preprint arXiv:1905.09883, 2019.
  71. [Vaswani et al., 2017] Ashish Vaswani, Noam Shazeer, Niki Par- mar, Jakob Uszkoreit, Llion Jones, Aidan N Gomez, Łukasz Kaiser, and Illia Polosukhin. Attention is all you need. Advances in neural information processing systems, 30, 2017.
  72. [Villani and others, 2009] Cédric Villani et al. Optimal transport: old and new, volume 338. Springer, 2009.
  73. [Walker et al., 2024] Benjamin Walker, Andrew Donald McLeod, Tiexin Qin, Yichuan Cheng, Haoliang Li, and Terry Lyons. Log neural controlled differential equations: The lie brackets make a difference. In Forty-first International Conference on Machine Learning, 2024.
  74. [Weerakody et al., 2021] Philip B Weerakody, Kok Wai Wong, Guanjin Wang, and Wendell Ela. A review of irregular time series data handling with gated recurrent neural networks. Neurocom- puting, 441:161-178, 2021.
  75. [Wen et al., 2023] Qingsong Wen, Tian Zhou, Chaoli Zhang, Weiqi Chen, Ziqing Ma, Junchi Yan, and Liang Sun. Transformers in time series: a survey. In Proceedings of the Thirty-Second Inter- national Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 6778- 6786, 2023. IJCAI
  76. [Yildiz et al., 2019] Cagatay Yildiz, Markus Heinonen, and Harri Lahdesmaki. Ode2vae: Deep generative second order odes with bayesian neural networks. Advances in Neural Information Pro- cessing Systems, 32, 2019.
  77. [Zhang et al., 2024] Shuai Zhang, Chuan Zhou, Yang Aron Liu, Peng Zhang, Xixun Lin, and Zhi-Ming Ma. Neural jump- diffusion temporal point processes. In Forty-first International Conference on Machine Learning, 2024.
  78. [Zheng et al., 2024] Su Zheng, Zhengqi Gao, Fan-Keng Sun, Du- ane S Boning, Bei Yu, and Martin Wong. Improving neural ode training with temporal adaptive batch normalization. In The Thirty-eighth Annual Conference on Neural Information Process- ing Systems, 2024.
  79. [Zhuang et al., 2020] Juntang Zhuang, Nicha Dvornek, Xiaoxiao Li, Sekhar Tatikonda, Xenophon Papademetris, and James Dun- can. Adaptive checkpoint adjoint method for gradient estimation in neural ode. In International Conference on Machine Learning, pages 11639-11649. PMLR, 2020.

References were extracted automatically from the PDF and may contain errors.

Welcome Future Conferences AI Journal Division IJCAI Proceedings About IJCAI IJCAI Awards