MetaER-TTE: An Adaptive Meta-learning Model for En Route Travel Time Estimation

MetaER-TTE: An Adaptive Meta-learning Model for En Route Travel Time Estimation

Yu Fan, Jiajie Xu, Rui Zhou, Jianxin Li, Kai Zheng, Lu Chen, Chengfei Liu

Proceedings of the Thirty-First International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Main Track. Pages 2023-2029. https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2022/281

En route travel time estimation (ER-TTE) aims to predict the travel time on the remaining route. Since the traveled and remaining parts of a trip usually have some common characteristics like driving speed, it is desirable to explore these characteristics for improved performance via effective adaptation. This yet faces the severe problem of data sparsity due to the few sampled points in a traveled partial trajectory. Since trajectories with different contextual information tend to have different characteristics, the existing meta-learning method for ER-TTE cannot fit each trajectory well because it uses the same model for all trajectories. To this end, we propose a novel adaptive meta-learning model called MetaER-TTE. Particularly, we utilize soft-clustering and derive cluster-aware initialized parameters to better transfer the shared knowledge across trajectories with similar contextual information. In addition, we adopt a distribution-aware approach for adaptive learning rate optimization, so as to avoid task-overfitting which will occur when guiding the initial parameters with a fixed learning rate for tasks under imbalanced distribution. Finally, we conduct comprehensive experiments to demonstrate the superiority of MetaER-TTE.
Keywords:
Data Mining: Mining Spatial and/or Temporal Data
Multidisciplinary Topics and Applications: Transportation